Jon Cardin Ahead 24 Points in New Attorney General Poll

Poll shows Cardin lead grew by five points since public polls released in February

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE:

Baltimore, MD – A new poll released by Jon Cardin’s campaign for Attorney General showed Cardin winning 34% of likely Democratic primary voters, compared to 10% for Brian Frosh and 8% for Aisha Braveboy. The poll was conducted by D.C. based polling firm Normington, Petts and Associates of 600 likely Democratic primary voters and contains a margin of error of +/- 4%

 The poll shows Cardin’s lead steadily increasing.  On October 17th, Gonzales poll that showed Cardin with a 12 point lead over Brian Frosh and a 17 point lead over Aisha Braveboy, among likely voters.  In February, the Washington Post released a poll that showed Cardin with a 19 point lead over Frosh and a 9 point lead over Braveboy.  Today’s release shows that lead has jumped to 24 and 26 points over Frosh and Braveboy, respectively. 

David Petts, Founder and Principal of Normington and Petts stated, “Cardin’s lead is based on the strong showing of his geographic base of Baltimore County, where Cardin receives 45% of the vote.  By comparison, Brian Frosh starts with just 24% of the vote in his geographic base of Montgomery County.  Cardin also runs strong in the City of Baltimore, where he starts the race with 40% of the vote.” 

In a statement, Cardin’s campaign manager, Andy Carton, said, “Our growing lead clearly demonstrates that the more people know about Jon, the better he does. While we are encouraged by today’s results, this election is far from over, and we’re not taking anything for granted.”

 The steady growth of Cardin’s lead may lend support to the notion that Cardin’s support is deeper than name recognition alone. On February 16th,  Steve Raabe, President of Opinions Works, told the Baltimore Sun that “[Cardin] may benefit some from some family name recognition, but his support does appear to be fairly solid …so I am sure that he is gathering support in his own right, in addition to any benefit he may get from the family name”.

Carton concluded, “We’re running a campaign centered on issues such as public safety, civil rights, environmental protection, and consumer protection.  We’re confident that as the campaign heats up, our message will resonate with the nearly 50% of the electorate that remains undecided.”

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M E M O R A N D U M

To:  Cardin for Attorney General

From: Normington, Petts and Associates

 Date: April 29, 2014

 The following is a summary of findings from a telephone survey conducted among 600 likely primary voters in Maryland.  Interviews were conducted April 21-17, 2014.  The sampling error for this survey is plus or minus 4.0 percentage points.  The poll has the following makeup: 45% men and 55% women; 22% 18-44, 32% 45-49 and 41% 60 and older; 50% Baltimore media market and 47% Washington, D.C. media market.

Jon Cardin is in a very strong position to win the Democratic primary for Maryland Attorney General on June 24, 2014.  Our poll shows Cardin with a significant lead at 34% of the vote, while Frosh and Braveboy trail with just 10% and 8% respectively. 

These results confirm the findings from previous independent surveys showing Cardin with a lead over his two Democratic primary competitors.

Cardin’s lead is based on the strong showing of his geographic base of Baltimore County, where Cardin receives 45% of the vote.  By comparison, Brian Frosh starts with just 24% of the vote in his geographic base of Montgomery County.  Cardin also runs strong in the City of Baltimore, where he starts the race with 40% of the vote.

With his geographic base in Baltimore City and Baltimore County, Cardin is well positioned to win the Democratic primary for Attorney General.